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League One
Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Stevenage
2 - 0
Shrewsbury

Presley (58'), Reid (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bayliss (45+5'), Winchester (74'), Kenneh (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stevenage and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Stevenage 2-1 Watford (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Shrewsbury
Wednesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Stevenage 1-0 Shrewsbury Town

 Just like a season ago, the Boro have been creating surprises, and we believe they will be able to frustrate the Shrews on Saturday and find another way to win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 58.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 17.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawShrewsbury Town
58.94% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 23.67% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 17.4% (0.044999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 45.35% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.08% (0.012 0.01)53.92% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.63% (0.010999999999999 0.01)75.37% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.95% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)18.05% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.04% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)48.96% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.34% (0.061999999999998 0.06)44.66% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.34% (0.048999999999999 0.05)80.66% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 58.93%
    Shrewsbury Town 17.4%
    Draw 23.66%
StevenageDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 13.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 6.74% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.89% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 58.93%
1-1 @ 11.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 3.84% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 23.66%
0-1 @ 6.5% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.62% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.21% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 17.4%

Head to Head
Jan 24, 2015 3pm
Shrewsbury
3-2
Stevenage
Collins (22', 88'), Lawrence (24' pen.)
Knight-Percival (60'), Goldson (79')
Marriott (10'), Wells (42')
Pett (8'), Henry (32'), Lee (93')
Sep 13, 2014 3pm
Stevenage
1-0
Shrewsbury
Charles (36')
Lee (17'), Pett (67'), Henry (75')

Woods (80'), Griffith (83'), Goldson (85')
Apr 5, 2014 3pm
Shrewsbury
1-0
Stevenage
Taylor (57')
Jacobson (14'), Hall (45')
Hall (83')

Reid (10'), Obeng (61'), Freeman (62'), Zoko (76'), Smith (90')
Nov 30, 2013 3pm
Stevenage
1-3
Shrewsbury
Zoko (24')
Reach (35'), Eaves (38'), Jacobson (51')
Feb 23, 2013 3pm
Shrewsbury
2-1
Stevenage
Parry (31'), Morgan (86')
Jacobson (66')
Dunne (20')
Gray (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628
> League One Full Table


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