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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 49.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 25.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
49.1% ( 0.16) | 25.6% ( -0.07) | 25.29% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 50.29% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.13% ( 0.21) | 52.87% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.52% ( 0.18) | 74.48% ( -0.18) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.45% ( 0.16) | 21.55% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.38% ( 0.24) | 54.62% ( -0.24) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.1% ( 0.04) | 35.9% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.32% ( 0.04) | 72.68% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
1-0 @ 11.87% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 49.1% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.93% Total : 25.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
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