EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Sep 5, 2023 at 7pm UK

MEMS Priestfield Stadium

Gillingham
2 - 1
Leyton Orient

Alexander (80' pen.), Beckles (83' og.)
Coleman (67')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Morris (43' og.)
Cooper (45+1'), Terry (46'), Galbraith (61'), Sanders (65'), Archibald (81')
Forde (62'), Cooper (65')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Gillingham and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions

Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-0 Gillingham
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leyton Orient

All competitions

Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-3 Stevenage
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Gillingham 0-0 Leyton Orient

Gillingham's matches tend to have very few goals scored in them due to Harris' safety-first approach, while Leyton Orient have failed to score in five of their seven matches so far this season. As such, this looks like it will almost certainly be an extremely tight affair, with neither set of players likely to be throwing themselves into challenges ahead of important league fixtures at the weekend. We can envisage a goalless draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 36.69%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Gillingham	Draw	Leyton Orient
35.83% ( 0.19)	27.48% ( 0.07)	36.69% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 49.39% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.73% (

-0.25)

56.27% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.69% (

-0.2)

77.31% (

0.2)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.02% (

-0)

29.98% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.9% (

-0.01)

66.1% (

0.01)

Leyton Orient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.54% (

-0.28)

29.46% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.54% (

-0.34)

65.46% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Gillingham 35.82%

Leyton Orient 36.68%

Draw 27.48%

Gillingham	Draw	Leyton Orient
1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 35.82%	1-1 @ 13% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.48%	0-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.49% Total : 36.68%