EFL Trophy | Third Round
Jan 4, 2022 at 7pm UK
Wetherby Road
Harrogate1 - 0Carlisle
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Third Round clash between Harrogate Town and Carlisle United.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 35.5% | 25.85% | 38.64% |
| Both teams to score 54.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
