Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.