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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
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Harrogate Town
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Morecambe
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Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Scunthorpe United
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
Glanford Park
Carlisle United

Scunthorpe
0 - 1
Carlisle


Rowe (35'), Hackney (52')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McDonald (40')
Dickenson (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Scunthorpe United and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Scunthorpe United 2-1 Carlisle United

Both teams have struggled so far this season and they are each in a real need to add some points if they are wanting to survive relegation. There is no doubt that each squad will view this as a must win game, but considering the recent form Scunthorpe have displayed, they should have enough to edge things. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 49.93%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 23.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.01%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 1-0 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Carlisle United in this match.

Result
Scunthorpe UnitedDrawCarlisle United
23.41%26.66%49.93%
Both teams to score 45.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.8%58.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.15%78.85%
Scunthorpe United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.41%40.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.81%77.18%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57%23.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.57%57.43%
Score Analysis
    Scunthorpe United 23.41%
    Carlisle United 49.92%
    Draw 26.66%
Scunthorpe UnitedDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 8.57%
2-1 @ 5.61%
2-0 @ 3.87%
3-1 @ 1.69%
3-2 @ 1.22%
3-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 23.41%
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 9.51%
2-2 @ 4.07%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 26.66%
0-1 @ 13.79%
0-2 @ 10.01%
1-2 @ 9.03%
0-3 @ 4.84%
1-3 @ 4.37%
2-3 @ 1.97%
0-4 @ 1.76%
1-4 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 49.92%

How you voted: Scunthorpe vs Carlisle

Scunthorpe United
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Carlisle United
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Carlisle
2-2
Scunthorpe
Gibson (81'), Dickenson (90+5')
Jarvis (3'), Onariase (44')
Perry (66'), Hippolyte (78'), Rowe (86')
Apr 6, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 40
Carlisle
2-0
Scunthorpe
Mellish (60', 62')

Loft (45+1')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 3
Scunthorpe
1-0
Carlisle
Hallam (35')
Spence (74'), Beestin (84')
Apr 13, 2020 3pm
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 6
Scunthorpe
0-1
Carlisle

Clarke (27')
Loft (60')
Carroll (35'), Knight-Percival (65'), McKirdy (74'), Iredale (84'), Loft (89'), Elliott (93')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall21144339192046
2Port Vale2210752721637
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2210663126536
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe219842518735
5AFC Wimbledon21104732181434
6Chesterfield2297636251134
7Notts County219753021934
8Grimsby Town22111103034-434
9Salford City219662519633
10Bradford CityBradford218762623331
11MK Dons209383328530
12Bromley217953025530
13Gillingham219392220230
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham228683131030
15Colchester UnitedColchester2151152522326
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood206862625126
17BarrowBarrow217592021-126
18Newport CountyNewport217592936-726
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2263131834-1621
21Swindon TownSwindon2248102736-920
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Morecambe2245132038-1817
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2136121533-1815


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