MX23RW : Tuesday, October 1 11:16:54| >> :600:1159793:1159793:
Mansfield Town
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 10, 2023 at 7pm UK
One Call Stadium
Doncaster Rovers

Mansfield
3 - 2
Doncaster

Gale (11' pen., 13'), Johnson (88')
MacDonald (19'), Brunt (45+8'), Cargill (49')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Close (38'), Ironside (64')
Sotona (26'), Flint (52'), Westbrooke (66'), Molyneux (71')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Mansfield Town and Doncaster Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mansfield 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 56.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 21.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 1-2 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawDoncaster Rovers
56.68% (1.102 1.1) 22.08% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 21.24% (-1.075 -1.08)
Both teams to score 56.66% (-1.484 -1.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.91% (-1.236 -1.24)42.09% (1.236 1.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.51% (-1.251 -1.25)64.49% (1.25 1.25)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.33% (-0.068000000000012 -0.07)14.67% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.18% (-0.127 -0.13)42.82% (0.126 0.13)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.4% (-1.684 -1.68)33.6% (1.683 1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.75% (-1.881 -1.88)70.24% (1.878 1.88)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 56.68%
    Doncaster Rovers 21.24%
    Draw 22.07%
Mansfield TownDrawDoncaster Rovers
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
1-0 @ 9.46% (0.493 0.49)
2-0 @ 9.08% (0.453 0.45)
3-1 @ 6.34% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.81% (0.277 0.28)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.152 -0.15)
4-1 @ 3.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.79% (0.127 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.077 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.07% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 56.68%
1-1 @ 10.31% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.226 -0.23)
0-0 @ 4.93% (0.268 0.27)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.07%
1-2 @ 5.63% (-0.222 -0.22)
0-1 @ 5.37% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.93% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.05% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.179 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 21.24%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Doncaster

Mansfield Town
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
Doncaster Rovers
11.1%
18
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Doncaster
2-2
Mansfield
Nixon (20'), Ironside (76')
Nixon (64')
Reed (42'), Maris (80')
Boateng (43'), Swan (90+4'), Clarke (90+3')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Mansfield
4-1
Doncaster
Anderson (1' og.), Kilgour (26'), Akins (60'), Swan (86')
Hurst (53')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Doncaster
1-3
Mansfield
Tomlin (45+2' pen.)
Tomlin (66')
Clarke (15'), Maris (56'), Akins (71' pen.)
Hawkins (61'), Lapslie (83'), Clarke (86')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Second Round
Doncaster
2-3
Mansfield
Horton (7'), Rowe (84')
Ravenhill (56')
Forrester (48'), Lapslie (60', 71')
Stirk (88')
Apr 8, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
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