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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
Result | ||
Barrow | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
40.64% ( 0.09) | 26.61% ( 0) | 32.74% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 51.61% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.75% ( -0.03) | 53.25% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.19% ( -0.02) | 74.8% ( 0.02) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.23% ( 0.03) | 25.77% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.28% ( 0.05) | 60.72% ( -0.04) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.53% ( -0.07) | 30.47% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.32% ( -0.09) | 66.68% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Barrow | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
1-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 40.64% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.15% Total : 32.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
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