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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gillingham | Draw | Mansfield Town |
28.84% ( 0.03) | 26.3% ( -0) | 44.86% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 50.87% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.6% ( 0.03) | 53.4% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.07% ( 0.03) | 74.93% ( -0.03) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.68% ( 0.04) | 33.31% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.06% ( 0.05) | 69.93% ( -0.04) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.29% ( 0) | 23.71% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.17% ( 0) | 57.83% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Gillingham | Draw | Mansfield Town |
1-0 @ 8.68% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.77% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.52% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.75% ( 0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 28.84% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.99% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.32% 0-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 44.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |