EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 9, 2021 at 7pm UK
Globe Arena
Morecambe0 - 2Carlisle
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 34.1% | 26.31% | 39.58% |
| Both teams to score 52.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
