Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 70.35%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 13.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 3-1 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for an Arsenal Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough United	Draw	Arsenal Under-21s
70.35% ( -0.01)	16.12% ( 0)	13.53% ( 0)

Both teams to score 62.38% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.66% (

-0.01)

27.34% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.09% (

-0.01)

47.91% (

0.01)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.02% (

-0)

6.98% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.43% (

-0.01)

25.56% (

0.01)

Arsenal Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.06% (

32.94% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.48% (

69.52% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Peterborough United 70.35%

Arsenal Under-21s 13.54%

Draw 16.12%

Peterborough United	Draw	Arsenal Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.15% ( 0) 3-1 @ 8.03% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.23% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.12% ( 0) 4-1 @ 5.34% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.81% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.46% 4-2 @ 2.97% 5-1 @ 2.84% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.56% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.58% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.26% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.14% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.72% Total : 70.35%	1-1 @ 6.8% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.3% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.34% Total : 16.12%	1-2 @ 3.78% ( 0) 0-1 @ 2.55% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.86% 0-2 @ 1.42% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.53% Total : 13.54%