FA Cup | Second Round
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
We said: Peterborough United 3-1 Doncaster Rovers
Doncaster Rovers do have the quality to challenge their higher opposition away from home, but in what we see as an intriguing contest, the Posh should have too much, particularly in attack, and we fancy them to come out on top and advance to the third round.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 63.15% . A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 17.76% .
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 3-1 (7.4%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%) , while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 1-2 (4.82%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Peterborough United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Peterborough United.
Result Peterborough United Draw Doncaster Rovers 63.15% ( -0.05) 19.09% ( 0.01) 17.76% ( 0.05)
Both teams to score 61.26% ( 0.08)
66.74% ( 0.06) 33.25% ( -0.06)
44.98% ( 0.07) 55.02% ( -0.07)
Peterborough United Goals
89.91% ( 0) 10.09% ( -0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 66.77% ( 0.01) 33.23% ( -0.01)
68.14% ( 0.09) 31.86% ( -0.09)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 31.7% ( 0.1) 68.3% ( -0.1)
Peterborough United 63.15%
Doncaster Rovers 17.76%
Draw 19.09%
Peterborough United Draw Doncaster Rovers 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.4% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.24% 3-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.43% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.95% 5-0 @ 1.7% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.11% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.5% Total : 63.15% 1-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 19.09% 1-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.68% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.1% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.21% Total : 17.76%
How you voted: Peterborough vs Doncaster
Peterborough United
Draw
Doncaster Rovers
7
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-03 08:01:10
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