MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 02:36:43| >> :600:186021:186021:
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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2023 at 7pm UK
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Reading
5 - 2
Arsenal U21s

Ehibhaimha (13', 35'), Vickers (24'), Knibbs (68'), Smith (90+5')
Guinness-Walker (45+3'), Holmes (54'), Craig (67')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Vieira (33' pen.), Edwards (52')
Ibrahim (11'), Walters (19')
Heaven (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Reading and Arsenal Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-2 Reading
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One

Arsenal Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Arsenal U21s 3-3 Man City U21s
Friday, November 3 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

We said: Reading 1-1 Arsenal Under-21s (Reading win on penalties)

 With a plethora of star men from both clubs missing, a high-scoring classic should not be expected at the Madejski, although Arsenal still possess some effervescent attacking forces ready to make their presence felt. For all of their League One troubles, Reading have had no problem breaching opposing backlines in Group F either, and we can picture the Royals coming out on top in the shootout following a closely-contested draw to advance as section winners. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawArsenal Under-21s
46.73% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 22.66% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 30.61% (-0.044 -0.04)
Both teams to score 64.32% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.74% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)36.26% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.62% (-0.067 -0.07)58.38% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)15.98% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.72% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)45.28% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Arsenal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.55% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)23.45% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.54% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)57.46% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Reading 46.73%
    Arsenal Under-21s 30.61%
    Draw 22.66%
ReadingDrawArsenal Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.87% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.3% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.59% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 4.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.85% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.86% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 46.73%
1-1 @ 9.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.75% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.66%
1-2 @ 7.23% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 5.43% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.94% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 3.49% (-0.0079999999999996 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 30.61%

How you voted: Reading vs Arsenal U21s

Reading
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
Arsenal Under-21s
33.3%
21
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255
> Premier League Full Table


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