FA Cup | First Round
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Reading3 - 2MK Dons
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Reading 2-3 Portsmouth
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 3-2 Swindon
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Reading 1-2 MK Dons
While Reading may play their football in the league above MK Dons, they head into the weekend off the back of a poor run of form. In contrast to their hosts, MK Dons will be full of confidence following consecutive victories, and we think that they will continue to build momentum with a win in Saturday's cup tie. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | MK Dons |
| 40.05% | 24.23% | 35.71% |
| Both teams to score 60.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
