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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Reading | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
43.95% ( 1.32) | 24.94% ( -0.38) | 31.11% ( -0.94) |
Both teams to score 56.47% ( 0.87) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.31% ( 1.31) | 46.69% ( -1.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.05% ( 1.22) | 68.95% ( -1.22) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.72% ( 1.17) | 21.28% ( -1.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.8% ( 1.78) | 54.2% ( -1.78) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.73% ( 0.04) | 28.28% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.01% ( 0.05) | 63.99% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Reading | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
1-0 @ 9.31% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.24) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.56% Total : 43.95% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.42) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 31.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |