League One

League One | Gameweek 16

Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

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Reading
2 - 3
Portsmouth

Wing (23'), Savage (27')
Wing (45+5'), Guinness-Walker (52'), Dean (82'), Elliott (90')
Mbengue (90+9')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Anjorin (33'), Bishop (45+9'), Devlin (58')
Mousinho (46'), Robertson (60'), Saydee (89')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Reading and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Reading 1-2 Fleetwood
Tuesday, October 24 at 8pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Portsmouth

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Cambridge 0-0 Portsmouth
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Reading 1-3 Portsmouth

The two sides enter Saturday's contest in contrasting veins of form, and we think that a confident Portsmouth side will prove too strong for the hosts, who have suffered four consecutive defeats. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 45.08%. A win for Reading had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Reading	Draw	Portsmouth
29.52% ( 0)	25.4% ( -0.03)	45.08% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 54.09% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.6% (

0.11)

49.4% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.55% (

0.09)

71.44% (

-0.1)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.26% (

0.06)

30.74% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33% (

0.07)

67% (

-0.07)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.1% (

0.05)

21.9% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.84% (

0.08)

55.16% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Reading 29.52%

Portsmouth 45.07%

Draw 25.4%

Reading	Draw	Portsmouth
1-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.11% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( 0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 29.52%	1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.4%	0-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.16% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.64% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.93% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 45.07%