MX23RW : Friday, November 22 21:50:59| >> :600:365638:365638:
Sutton United
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 31, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground

Sutton
1 - 0
Chelsea U21s

Fadahunsi (5')
Milsom (86'), Smith (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brooking (11'), Casadei (76'), Gilchrist (90+5')
Casadei (85')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Sutton United and Chelsea Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

Last Six:
Last Game: Sutton 2-1 Mansfield
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two

Chelsea Under-21s

Last Six:
Last Game: Chelsea U21s 2-2 Man City U21s
Friday, August 26 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 51.57%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 0-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sutton United in this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawChelsea Under-21s
51.57% (-0.27800000000001 -0.28) 23.88% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02) 24.55% (0.295 0.29)
Both teams to score 54.91% (0.379 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.58% (0.349 0.35)46.42% (-0.35 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.3% (0.328 0.33)68.7% (-0.328 -0.33)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.99% (0.024999999999991 0.02)18% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.12% (0.043999999999997 0.04)48.87% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Chelsea Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.97% (0.44200000000001 0.44)33.03% (-0.443 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.38% (0.488 0.49)69.62% (-0.488 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 51.56%
    Chelsea Under-21s 24.55%
    Draw 23.88%
Sutton UnitedDrawChelsea Under-21s
1-0 @ 10.19% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.74% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.14% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 51.56%
1-1 @ 11.29% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.95% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.059 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.88%
0-1 @ 6.59% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.26% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.65% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.31% (0.051 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 24.55%

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3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
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