Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Fredrikstad had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.44%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Fredrikstad win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Fredrikstad	Draw	Sarpsborg 08
33.59% ( 0.06)	23.7% ( 0.03)	42.71% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 61.87% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.95% (

-0.12)

40.05% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.59% (

-0.13)

62.41% (

0.13)

Fredrikstad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.45% (

-0.03)

23.55% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.4% (

-0.04)

57.6% (

0.04)

Sarpsborg 08 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.93% (

-0.09)

19.07% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.33% (

-0.15)

50.67% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Fredrikstad 33.59%

Sarpsborg 08 42.71%

Draw 23.7%

Fredrikstad	Draw	Sarpsborg 08
2-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 33.59%	1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.7%	1-2 @ 8.92% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.17% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.93% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.37% Total : 42.71%