Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kristiansund win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Aalesund had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kristiansund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Aalesund win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 7-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kristiansund would win this match.