Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kristiansund win with a probability of 50.77%. A win for SK Brann had a probability of 24.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kristiansund win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest SK Brann win was 0-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kristiansund would win this match.