Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 61.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Rosenborg had a probability of 18.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 1-0 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Rosenborg win it was 1-2 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.