Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 71.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Mjondalen had a probability of 11.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Mjondalen win it was 1-2 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosenborg would win this match.