Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosenborg would win this match.