Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kristiansund win with a probability of 60.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Mjondalen had a probability of 18.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kristiansund win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Mjondalen win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kristiansund in this match.