Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 10

Jun 18, 2022 at 3pm UK

Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg
5 - 1
Stromsgodset

Molins (14'), Heintz (18', 90+3'), Saletros (38' pen., 45' pen.)
Horn (12'), Odegaard (75')

FT(HT: 4-1)

Enersen (45+2')
Salvesen (40')

Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Sarpsborg 08 and Stromsgodset.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Stromsgodset win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarpsborg 08 would win this match.

Result
Sarpsborg 08	Draw	Stromsgodset
42.06% ( -0.86)	25.73% ( -0.13)	32.21% ( 0.99)

Both teams to score 54.28% (

0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.26% (

0.9)

49.73% (

-0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.26% (

0.8)

71.74% (

-0.8)

Sarpsborg 08 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.52% (

-0.03)

23.47% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.51% (

-0.04)

57.49% (

0.04)

Stromsgodset Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.93% (

1.11)

29.07% (

-1.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.02% (

1.35)

64.98% (

-1.35)

Score Analysis

Sarpsborg 08 42.06%

Stromsgodset 32.21%

Draw 25.72%

Sarpsborg 08	Draw	Stromsgodset
1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.01% Total : 42.06%	1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.72%	0-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.55% Total : 32.21%