Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 75.01%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 10.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 3-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.61%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (3.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Groningen |
| 75.01% | 14.74% | 10.26% |
| Both teams to score 56.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.34% | 29.66% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.21% | 50.79% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.36% | 6.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 75.34% | 24.66% |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.3% | 39.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.62% | 76.38% |
| Score Analysis |
Ajax 75.01%
Groningen 10.26%
Draw 14.74%
| Ajax | Draw | Groningen |
| 2-0 @ 9.7% 2-1 @ 8.96% 3-0 @ 8.77% 3-1 @ 8.1% 1-0 @ 7.15% 4-0 @ 5.95% 4-1 @ 5.49% 3-2 @ 3.74% 5-0 @ 3.23% 5-1 @ 2.98% 4-2 @ 2.54% 6-0 @ 1.46% 5-2 @ 1.38% 6-1 @ 1.35% Other @ 4.22% Total : 75.01% | 1-1 @ 6.61% 2-2 @ 4.14% 0-0 @ 2.64% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.2% Total : 14.74% | 1-2 @ 3.05% 0-1 @ 2.44% 2-3 @ 1.27% 0-2 @ 1.13% 1-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.43% Total : 10.26% |
How you voted: Ajax vs Groningen
Ajax
94.9%Draw
5.1%Groningen
0.0%39
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2020 11.15am
Jan 26, 2020 1.30pm
Gameweek 20
Groningen
2-1
Ajax
Sep 28, 2019 6.45pm
Gameweek 8
Ajax
2-0
Groningen
Sep 15, 2018 7.45pm
