Ajax

2 - 1

Lille

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 53.77%. A win for Lille had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.57%) and 3-2 (5.4%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ajax in this match.