Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2025 at 3.45pm UK
Amsterdam ArenA
Ajax3 - 1NAC Breda
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: PSV 0-2 Ajax
Sunday, March 30 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, March 30 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 1-1 Groningen
Saturday, March 29 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, March 29 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Goals
for
for
29
We said: Ajax 2-0 NAC Breda
Ajax have been on a tear in the Eredivisie since the start of the year, and they will be brimming with confidence coming into this match off the back of a crucial victory over PSV last week. The hosts are unbeaten at home this season with 11 wins and just two draws in 13, and we feel they will extend that record with another comfortable victory in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 75.72%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 9.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.66%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.96%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 1-2 (2.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | NAC Breda |
75.72% ( 0.06) | 14.92% ( 0.1) | 9.37% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 51.49% ( -1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.28% ( -1.06) | 33.72% ( 1.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.46% ( -1.22) | 55.54% ( 1.22) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.58% ( -0.23) | 7.42% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 73.28% ( -0.6) | 26.72% ( 0.6) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.62% ( -1.08) | 44.38% ( 1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.56% ( -0.89) | 80.44% ( 0.9) |
| Score Analysis |
Ajax 75.71%
NAC Breda 9.37%
Draw 14.92%
| Ajax | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 2-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.35) 3-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.19)2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.37)3-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.11)6-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.05)5-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.25% Total : 75.71% | 1-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.99% Total : 14.92% | 1-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 1.09% ( -0)2-3 @ 1% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.78% Total : 9.37% |
How you voted: Ajax vs NAC Breda
Ajax
90.0%Draw
10.0%NAC Breda
0.0%30
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2024 3.45pm
Feb 17, 2019 11.15am
Gameweek 22
Ajax
5-0
NAC Breda
Nov 24, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 13
NAC Breda
0-3
Ajax
Feb 4, 2018 3.45pm
Nov 18, 2017 7.45pm
NAC Breda
0-8
Ajax
Angelino (32')
