MX23RW : Monday, March 10 15:38:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
PEC Zwolle
Eredivisie | Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2025 at 1.30pm UK
MAC³PARK Stadion
Ajax

PEC Zwolle
0 - 1
Ajax


Thomas (32')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Taylor (61' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PEC Zwolle and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heracles 4-2 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, March 2 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 1-2 Frankfurt
Thursday, March 6 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: PEC Zwolle 0-2 Ajax

While Ajax may be left drained from a tough European battle in midweek, we can only see them extending their dominant run in the Dutch top flight on Sunday thanks to their superior quality at both ends of the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 69.23%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 12.54%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.29%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-0 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
PEC ZwolleDrawAjax
12.54% (-0.06 -0.06) 18.22% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06) 69.23% (0.119 0.12)
Both teams to score 50.72% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.48% (0.149 0.15)40.51% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.1% (0.153 0.15)62.89% (-0.15199999999999 -0.15)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)43.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.49% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)79.51% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.39% (0.069999999999993 0.07)10.61% (-0.071 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.59% (0.16 0.16)34.4% (-0.16 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    PEC Zwolle 12.54%
    Ajax 69.22%
    Draw 18.22%
PEC ZwolleDrawAjax
1-0 @ 3.84% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-1 @ 3.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.61% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 1.01% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 12.54%
1-1 @ 8.63% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.59% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 18.22%
0-2 @ 11.54% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 10.29% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9.68% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
0-3 @ 8.64% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 7.24% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 4.85% (0.025 0.03)
1-4 @ 4.06% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.03% (0.008 0.01)
0-5 @ 2.18% (0.018 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.82% (0.015 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.7% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 69.22%

How you voted: PEC Zwolle vs Ajax

PEC Zwolle
12.0%
Draw
4.0%
Ajax
84.0%
25
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2024 3.45pm
Gameweek 13
Ajax
2-0
PEC Zwolle
Brobbey (27'), Sutalo (63')
Hato (43'), Henderson (45'), Wijndal (90+2')

Mbayo (65')
Jul 5, 2024 1pm
Club Friendlies
Ajax
0-1
PEC Zwolle

Baas (80')
Fontana (20')
Mar 31, 2024 11.15am
Gameweek 27
PEC Zwolle
1-3
Ajax
Krastev (72')
Velanas (9'), Lam (38'), Vellios (71'), Garcia McNulty (77')
Hlynsson (12'), Akpom (24', 84')
Mannsverk (50'), Vos (89')
Dec 17, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 16
Ajax
2-2
PEC Zwolle
Brobbey (35', 48')
Berghuis (53')
Thy (60', 89')
Velanas (30'), Garcia McNulty (54'), Vellios (90+2')
Apr 30, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 28
Ajax
3-0
PEC Zwolle
Tadic (30'), Klaassen (51', 80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax25203253183563
2PSV EindhovenPSV25174475304555
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2514744638849
4FC Twente25137550311946
5Feyenoord24128448272144
6AZ AlkmaarAZ24134740241643
7Go Ahead Eagles2512584640641
8Fortuna SittardSittard2595113242-1032
9Heerenveen2586113145-1430
10Groningen2477102333-1028
11NAC BredaNAC Breda2584132743-1628
12Heracles2569103246-1427
13NECNijmegen2575133637-126
14PEC Zwolle2567122940-1125
15Sparta RotterdamSparta2559112434-1024
16Willem II2566132841-1324
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2445153249-1717
18Almere CityAlmere City2535171549-3414


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