MX23RW : Thursday, April 24 00:11:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2025 at 3.45pm UK
Amsterdam ArenA
AZ Alkmaar

Ajax
2 - 2
AZ

Gaaei (58'), Valaker Edvardsen (85')
Taylor (22')
Gaaei (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Buurmeester (52'), Sadiq (83')
Penetra (32'), Belic (54'), Clasie (58')
Penetra (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 4-1 Ajax
Thursday, March 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Spurs 3-1 AZ
Thursday, March 13 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Ajax 2-1 AZ Alkmaar

Given Ajax's impressive form, it is difficult to see them slipping up against an AZ side that have lost their last two away matches in all competitions. The hosts have been resolute at the back throughout their 10-game winning streak, while their attack has found its rhythm at just the right time, and that firepower could prove too much for an AZ defence that have shipped nine goals in their last four away outings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 54.32%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 23.69% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
AjaxDrawAZ Alkmaar
54.32% (-0.259 -0.26) 21.99% (0.029 0.03) 23.69% (0.225 0.23)
Both teams to score 60.38% (0.172 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.28% (0.102 0.1)38.71% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.98% (0.108 0.11)61.02% (-0.112 -0.11)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.72% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)14.27% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.93% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)42.06% (0.089000000000006 0.09)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.44% (0.239 0.24)29.56% (-0.244 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.41% (0.292 0.29)65.58% (-0.29600000000001 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 54.32%
    AZ Alkmaar 23.69%
    Draw 21.99%
AjaxDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.21% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.99% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.19% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.85% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.08% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.53% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.88% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 54.32%
1-1 @ 10.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.94% (0.031 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.22% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.99%
1-2 @ 6.1% (0.042 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.13% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.41% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 23.69%

How you voted: Ajax vs AZ

Ajax
Draw
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
82.4%
Draw
8.8%
AZ Alkmaar
8.8%
34
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2025 5.45pm
Round of 16
AZ
2-0
Ajax
Goes (36'), Meerdink (89')
Koopmeiners (81')

Traore (77'), Baas (90+3')
Dec 8, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 15
AZ
2-1
Ajax
Parrott (65'), Lahdo (76')
Goes (46')
Godts (81')
Weghorst (36'), Sutalo (45+2')
Feb 25, 2024 3.45pm
Gameweek 23
AZ
2-0
Ajax
Van Bommel (7', 67')
Bazoer (55'), Goes (79')
Oct 8, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 8
Ajax
1-2
AZ
Van den Boomen (73')
Bergwijn (50'), Vos (65')
Pavlidis (45'), De Wit (57')
Martins Indi (87')
May 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 31
Ajax
0-0
AZ
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax30234362263673
2PSV EindhovenPSV29204586335364
3Feyenoord29178464323259
4FC UtrechtUtrecht30178557421559
5FC Twente29139755411448
6AZ AlkmaarAZ29137947331446
7Go Ahead Eagles2913795246646
8Heerenveen30107133853-1537
9Groningen3098133245-1335
10Heracles30811113752-1535
11Sparta RotterdamSparta29810113336-334
12NECNijmegen2996144243-133
13Fortuna SittardSittard2996143349-1633
14PEC Zwolle29710123544-931
15NAC BredaNAC Breda2987143149-1831
16Willem II2966173049-1924
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2947183558-2319
18Almere CityAlmere City3047192159-3819


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