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Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
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Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2025 at 1.30pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
Ajax

Almere City
0 - 1
Ajax


Lawrence (54')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Taylor (8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 2-1 Almere City
Saturday, February 22 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, February 23 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Almere City 0-2 Ajax

While the hosts have shown more resilience in tough tests in recent weeks and the visitors are hampered by several important injuries, we do not see Almere City halting Ajax's winning run and back Farioli's side to put a ninth straight three-point haul on the board on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 75.8%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 8.39%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.47%) and 0-3 (10.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-0 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Almere CityDrawAjax
8.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01) 15.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01) 75.8% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 43.52% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.36% (0.012999999999998 0.01)41.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.96% (0.013000000000005 0.01)64.04% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.98% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)52.02% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.98% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)86.02% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.71% (0.012 0.01)9.28% (-0.0071000000000012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.65% (0.022000000000006 0.02)31.35% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 8.39%
    Ajax 75.79%
    Draw 15.8%
Almere CityDrawAjax
1-0 @ 3.16% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-1 @ 2.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 8.39%
1-1 @ 7.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 4.83% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 2.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 15.8%
0-2 @ 13.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 11.47%
0-3 @ 10.8%
1-2 @ 8.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 7.06%
0-4 @ 6.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 4.2% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-5 @ 3.05% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-5 @ 2% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.37%
0-6 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 75.79%

How you voted: Almere City vs Ajax

Almere City
14.7%
Draw
11.8%
Ajax
73.5%
34
Head to Head
Dec 15, 2024 3.45pm
Gameweek 16
Ajax
3-0
Almere City
Weghorst (12'), Taylor (40'), Fitz-Jim (55')
Rensch (57')

Jacobs (50'), Kadile (66')
May 12, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 33
Ajax
3-0
Almere City
Bergwijn (29', 34', 38')
Mannsverk (26'), Kaplan (45+3'), Hato (62')

Akujobi (10'), van Bruggen (52')
Nov 12, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 12
Almere City
2-2
Ajax
Ritmeester van de Kamp (67'), Robinet (90+3' pen.)
Jacobs (7'), van Bruggen (15'), Robinet (15'), Resink (75'), Koopmeiners (90+5')
Akpom (68'), Tahirovic (82')
Brobbey (15'), Rensch (90+1')
Jul 31, 2022 1pm
Club Friendlies
Almere City
1-1
Ajax
Jacobs (47')
Brobbey (35')
Fitz-Jim (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax25203253183563
2PSV EindhovenPSV25174475304555
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2514744638849
4FC Twente25137550311946
5Feyenoord24128448272144
6AZ AlkmaarAZ24134740241643
7Go Ahead Eagles2512584640641
8Fortuna SittardSittard2595113242-1032
9Heerenveen2586113145-1430
10Groningen2477102333-1028
11NAC BredaNAC Breda2584132743-1628
12Heracles2569103246-1427
13NECNijmegen2575133637-126
14PEC Zwolle2567122940-1125
15Sparta RotterdamSparta2559112434-1024
16Willem II2566132841-1324
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2445153249-1717
18Almere CityAlmere City2535171549-3414


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