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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 57.26%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 22.37% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.29%) and 3-1 (6.9%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (5.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Utrecht |
57.26% | 20.37% | 22.37% |
Both teams to score 64.59% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.54% | 32.46% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.9% | 54.1% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.64% | 11.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.94% | 36.05% |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.86% | 27.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.47% | 62.53% |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 9.51% 2-0 @ 7.29% 3-1 @ 6.9% 1-0 @ 6.7% 3-0 @ 5.29% 3-2 @ 4.5% 4-1 @ 3.75% 4-0 @ 2.88% 4-2 @ 2.45% 5-1 @ 1.63% 5-0 @ 1.25% 5-2 @ 1.07% 4-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.98% Total : 57.26% | 1-1 @ 8.74% 2-2 @ 6.2% 0-0 @ 3.08% 3-3 @ 1.96% Other @ 0.39% Total : 20.37% | 1-2 @ 5.7% 0-1 @ 4.02% 2-3 @ 2.7% 0-2 @ 2.62% 1-3 @ 2.48% 0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.71% Total : 22.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |