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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 58.25%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 21.35% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.76%) and 0-1 (7.19%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
PEC Zwolle | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
21.35% | 20.39% | 58.25% |
Both teams to score 62.95% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.07% | 33.93% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.21% | 55.79% |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.16% | 28.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.3% | 64.69% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.45% | 11.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.52% | 36.47% |
Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 5.56% 1-0 @ 4.14% 2-0 @ 2.58% 3-2 @ 2.49% 3-1 @ 2.3% 3-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.22% Total : 21.35% | 1-1 @ 8.94% 2-2 @ 6% 0-0 @ 3.33% 3-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 0.33% Total : 20.39% | 1-2 @ 9.65% 0-2 @ 7.76% 0-1 @ 7.19% 1-3 @ 6.94% 0-3 @ 5.58% 2-3 @ 4.32% 1-4 @ 3.75% 0-4 @ 3.01% 2-4 @ 2.33% 1-5 @ 1.62% 0-5 @ 1.3% 2-5 @ 1.01% 3-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.84% Total : 58.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |