Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 48.19%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
