Eredivisie | Gameweek 13

Dec 4, 2021 at 5.45pm UK

Cambuur Stadion

Cambuur
1 - 6
Vitesse

Tol (41')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Tronstad (26', 49'), Openda (30', 64'), Buitink (36'), Frederiksen (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Cambuur and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Separated by just one place and one point on the log, we expect both sides to go for all three points which should give rise to a keenly-contested affair. However, we are backing a share of the spoils with the teams settling for a point apiece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.32%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.

Result
Cambuur	Draw	Vitesse
34.77%	23.77%	41.46%

Both teams to score 61.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.92%

40.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.56%

62.44%

Cambuur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.09%

22.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.33%

56.67%

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.37%

19.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.41%

51.58%

Score Analysis

Cambuur 34.77%

Vitesse 41.46%

Draw 23.76%

Cambuur	Draw	Vitesse
2-1 @ 7.95% 1-0 @ 6.63% 2-0 @ 4.88% 3-1 @ 3.91% 3-2 @ 3.18% 3-0 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.22% Total : 34.77%	1-1 @ 10.78% 2-2 @ 6.47% 0-0 @ 4.5% 3-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.76%	1-2 @ 8.78% 0-1 @ 7.32% 0-2 @ 5.96% 1-3 @ 4.77% 2-3 @ 3.51% 0-3 @ 3.24% 1-4 @ 1.94% 2-4 @ 1.43% 0-4 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.19% Total : 41.46%