Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 50.59%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Cambuur in this match.