Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 65.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 14.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.36%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a FC Twente win it was 1-0 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.