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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 47.48%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 27.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-0 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | Ajax |
27.86% | 24.66% | 47.48% |
Both teams to score 55.4% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.82% | 47.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.58% | 69.42% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.19% | 30.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.92% | 67.08% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.06% | 19.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.91% | 52.09% |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | Ajax |
1-0 @ 7.23% 2-1 @ 6.87% 2-0 @ 4.26% 3-1 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 2.17% 3-0 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.97% Total : 27.86% | 1-1 @ 11.66% 0-0 @ 6.14% 2-2 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.66% | 0-1 @ 9.91% 1-2 @ 9.4% 0-2 @ 7.99% 1-3 @ 5.05% 0-3 @ 4.29% 2-3 @ 2.98% 1-4 @ 2.04% 0-4 @ 1.73% 2-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.9% Total : 47.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |