Eredivisie | Gameweek 32

May 5, 2024 at 1.30pm UK

Kras Stadion

Volendam
1 - 4
Ajax

Benamar (80')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Taylor (25', 77'), Akpom (59'), Brobbey (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Volendam and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Volendam

All competitions

Last Game: Sparta 1-0 Volendam
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Ajax

All competitions

Last Game: Ajax 2-2 Excelsior
Wednesday, April 24 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

With Ajax continuing to falter, Volendam will be optimistic that they can earn a result against the Dutch giants. However, given that fifth spot will now lead to a guaranteed European spot, expect a more focused performance from the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 76.05%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 10.69%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-3 with a probability of 8.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-3 (7.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.05%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 2-1 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
FC Volendam	Draw	Ajax
10.69% ( -0.23)	13.26% ( 0.34)	76.05% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 65.44% (

-2.82)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

79.83% (

-2.55)

20.17% (

2.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

61.66% (

-3.72)

38.33% (

3.72)

FC Volendam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.49% (

-2.55)

31.51% (

2.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.1% (

-3.06)

67.9% (

3.06)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.54% (

-0.53)

4.46% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

81.68% (

-1.68)

18.32% (

1.68)

Score Analysis

FC Volendam 10.69%

Ajax 76.05%

Draw 13.26%

FC Volendam	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.36% Total : 10.69%	1-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.27) Other @ 0.47% Total : 13.26%	1-3 @ 8.14% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.46) 0-3 @ 7.05% ( 0.62) 0-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.84) 1-4 @ 6.33% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 5.48% ( 0.28) 2-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.24) 0-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.69) 1-5 @ 3.94% ( -0.24) 2-4 @ 3.65% ( -0.34) 0-5 @ 3.41% ( 0.04) 2-5 @ 2.27% ( -0.32) 1-6 @ 2.04% ( -0.21) 0-6 @ 1.77% ( -0.05) 3-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.24) 2-6 @ 1.18% ( -0.22) 1-7 @ 0.91% ( -0.14) Other @ 4.78% Total : 76.05%