Eredivisie | Gameweek 27

Mar 31, 2024 at 11.15am UK

MAC³PARK Stadion

PEC Zwolle
1 - 3
Ajax

Krastev (72')
Velanas (9'), Lam (38'), Vellios (71'), Garcia McNulty (77')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Hlynsson (12'), Akpom (24', 84')
Mannsverk (50'), Vos (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PEC Zwolle and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PEC Zwolle

All competitions

Last Game: Sittard 3-1 PEC Zwolle
Saturday, March 16 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Sparta 2-2 Ajax
Sunday, March 17 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Only wins will do for Ajax from this stage onwards, yet we expect them to have to battle for maximum points here. Nevertheless, that is exactly what they need, and a hard-fought victory could stand them in good stead going forward. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 38.02% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.03%) and 1-3 (4.91%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Ajax in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result
PEC Zwolle	Draw	Ajax
38.02% ( 0.23)	21.97% ( 0.15)	40.01% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 69.5% (

-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.51% (

-0.77)

30.49% (

0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.22% (

-0.92)

51.78% (

0.92)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.96% (

-0.24)

17.04% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.8% (

-0.42)

47.2% (

0.42)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.77% (

-0.47)

16.23% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.27% (

-0.86)

45.73% (

0.87)

Score Analysis

PEC Zwolle 38.02%

Ajax 40.01%

Draw 21.97%

PEC Zwolle	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.04) 4-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 38.02%	1-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.97%	1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 4.91% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.23% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.68% Total : 40.01%