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Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
Apr 12, 2024 at 7pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
FC Volendam

Excelsior
4 - 0
Volendam

Duijvestijn (41'), Lamprou (43', 67'), Parrott (55')
Benita (26'), Goudmijn (90+3')
Parrott (16'), El Yaakoubi (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Buur (15'), Benamar (30'), Karim (77')
Karim (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and FC Volendam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 2-1 Excelsior
Saturday, April 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Volendam 3-2 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, April 7 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-2 FC Volendam

We anticipate a hard-fought encounter in what is a true six-pointer in the Eredivisie fight for survival on Friday. With the hosts' squad decimated by injures and the visitors gaining momentum in their unlikely survival bid, we fancy Volendam to make it back-to-back triumphs and move level with their opponents in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 52.64%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawFC Volendam
52.64% (0.288 0.29) 22.82% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 24.54% (-0.338 -0.34)
Both teams to score 58.49% (-0.553 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.32% (-0.558 -0.56)41.67% (0.558 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.92% (-0.566 -0.57)64.08% (0.56699999999999 0.57)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.13% (-0.101 -0.1)15.87% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.91% (-0.186 -0.19)45.09% (0.186 0.19)
FC Volendam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.53% (-0.57299999999999 -0.57)30.47% (0.572 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.31% (-0.686 -0.69)66.69% (0.68600000000001 0.69)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 52.64%
    FC Volendam 24.54%
    Draw 22.81%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawFC Volendam
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.025 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.9% (0.192 0.19)
2-0 @ 8.19% (0.15 0.15)
3-1 @ 5.97% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 5.03% (0.075 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.75% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.31% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 52.64%
1-1 @ 10.57% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.84% (0.121 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.81%
1-2 @ 6.29% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-1 @ 5.75% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.42% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 24.54%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Volendam

SBV Excelsior
35.5%
Draw
29.0%
FC Volendam
35.5%
31
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 10
Volendam
3-1
Excelsior
Benamar (53'), Muhren (57'), De Haan (71')
Ould-Chikh (76')
Driouech (33')
Parrott (70'), Horemans (89')
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
Volendam
3-2
Excelsior
Van Mieghem (10'), Van Gassel (23' og.), Antonucci (27')
Lamprou (56'), Agrafiotis (78')
Jan 20, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 17
Excelsior
2-0
Volendam
Mirani (18' og.), Azarkan (80')
Mar 11, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 30
Volendam
2-5
Excelsior
Muhren (34' pen.), Deul (54')
Eerdhuijzen (36')
Goudmijn (2'), Niemeijer (15'), Dallinga (18'), Azarkan (29'), Chacon (90+4')
Wieffer (22'), El Yaakoubi (33'), Chacon (62')
Aug 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 3
Excelsior
1-1
Volendam
Dallinga (40')
Muhren (45+1')
Twigt (5'), Kasius (42')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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