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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 52.64%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | FC Volendam |
52.64% ( 0.29) | 22.82% ( 0.05) | 24.54% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 58.49% ( -0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.32% ( -0.56) | 41.67% ( 0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.92% ( -0.57) | 64.08% ( 0.57) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.13% ( -0.1) | 15.87% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.91% ( -0.19) | 45.09% ( 0.19) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.53% ( -0.57) | 30.47% ( 0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.31% ( -0.69) | 66.69% ( 0.69) |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior | Draw | FC Volendam |
2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 5.97% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.55% Total : 52.64% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.81% | 1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.96% Total : 24.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 4 | 19 | 18 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 16 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
4 | FC Twente | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 11 |
5 | Feyenoord | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 9 |
6 | Groningen | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
9 | Willem II | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
10 | Ajax | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
13 | NECNijmegen | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 6 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 6 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 17 | -15 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 0 |
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