MX23RW : Sunday, May 11 21:11:22| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
Apr 14, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
FC Twente logo

Ajax
2 - 1
FC Twente

Brobbey (59'), Bergwijn (81' pen.)
Sutalo (5'), Mannsverk (35')
FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 6-0 Ajax
Sunday, April 7 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 2-0 Sittard
Saturday, April 6 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 1-2 FC Twente

When Ajax have played Twente at home in the past, a home win has generally been regarded as a foregone conclusion. However, times have recently changed, and we expect the visitors to outclass and outfight their hosts for another victory in a strong campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.59%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ajax in this match.

Result
AjaxDrawFC Twente
46.04% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03) 22.56% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 31.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 65.16% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.66% (-0.126 -0.13)35.34% (0.129 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.63% (-0.142 -0.14)57.37% (0.143 0.14)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.12% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)15.88% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.9% (-0.107 -0.11)45.1% (0.109 0.11)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.46% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)22.54% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.88% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)56.12% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 46.04%
    FC Twente 31.4%
    Draw 22.56%
AjaxDrawFC Twente
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.59% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.06% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.54% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 0.94% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 46.04%
1-1 @ 9.81% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.58% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.05% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.56%
1-2 @ 7.31% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.33% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.97% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.97% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 31.4%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 5
FC Twente
3-1
Ajax
Rots (7'), Steijn (11'), Unuvar (79')
Sadilek (74')
Brobbey (35')
Bergwijn (13'), Hato (82')
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
FC Twente
3-1
Ajax
Ugalde (46'), Pleguezuelo (51'), Cerny (75')
Smal (53'), Sadilek (68')
Tadic (31')
Berghuis (85')
Feb 9, 2023 5.45pm
Round of 16
FC Twente
0-1
Ajax
Kudus (70')
Jan 14, 2023 8pm
Feb 13, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 20
Ajax
5-0
FC Twente
Klaassen (31'), Haller (53', 85', 88'), Propper (77' og.)
Tadic (41')

Rots (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax32235463303374
2PSV EindhovenPSV32234596375973
3Feyenoord32198574363865
4FC UtrechtUtrecht32188661441762
5FC Twente32159860441654
6AZ AlkmaarAZ32158954342053
7Go Ahead Eagles32139105350348
8Heerenveen32117144056-1640
9Fortuna SittardSittard32116153653-1739
10Sparta RotterdamSparta32911123739-238
11Groningen32108143849-1138
12Heracles32911124057-1738
13NECNijmegen32107154645137
14PEC Zwolle32811133950-1135
15NAC BredaNAC Breda3288163354-2132
16Willem II3267193253-2125
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3257203969-3022
18Almere CityAlmere City3248202162-4120


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