Eredivisie | Gameweek 30

Apr 14, 2024 at 3.45pm UK

Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax
2 - 1
FC Twente

Brobbey (59'), Bergwijn (81' pen.)
Sutalo (5'), Mannsverk (35')

FT(HT: 0-1)

van Wolfswinkel (31')
Kjolo (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Feyenoord 6-0 Ajax
Sunday, April 7 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Twente

All competitions

Last Game: FC Twente 2-0 Sittard
Saturday, April 6 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

When Ajax have played Twente at home in the past, a home win has generally been regarded as a foregone conclusion. However, times have recently changed, and we expect the visitors to outclass and outfight their hosts for another victory in a strong campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.59%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ajax in this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	FC Twente
46.04% ( -0.03)	22.56% ( 0.03)	31.4% ( 0)

Both teams to score 65.16% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.66% (

-0.13)

35.34% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.63% (

-0.14)

57.37% (

0.14)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.12% (

-0.06)

15.88% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.9% (

-0.11)

45.1% (

0.11)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.46% (

-0.06)

22.54% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.88% (

-0.09)

56.12% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Ajax 46.04%

FC Twente 31.4%

Draw 22.56%

Ajax	Draw	FC Twente
2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0) 4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 46.04%	1-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.56%	1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.63% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.25% Total : 31.4%