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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 80.6%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 6.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.67%) and 0-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.18%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-0 (2.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Volendam | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
6.41% (![]() | 12.99% (![]() | 80.6% (![]() |
Both teams to score 43.7% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.32% (![]() | 35.67% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.26% (![]() | 57.74% (![]() |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.92% (![]() | 53.08% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.3% (![]() | 86.7% (![]() |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.14% (![]() | 6.86% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.77% (![]() | 25.23% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
FC Volendam | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
1-0 @ 2.31% (![]() 2-1 @ 1.96% ( ![]() Other @ 2.15% Total : 6.41% | 1-1 @ 6.18% (![]() 0-0 @ 3.64% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.62% ( ![]() Other @ 0.55% Total : 12.99% | 0-2 @ 13.07% (![]() 0-3 @ 11.67% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 9.75% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 8.28% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 7.82% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 7.4% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 4.96% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 4.19% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 0-6 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.57% ( ![]() 1-6 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 3.83% Total : 80.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |