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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 55.69%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 23.11% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.66%) and 0-1 (7.46%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 2-1 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | Ajax |
23.11% | 21.21% | 55.69% |
Both teams to score 62.48% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.36% | 35.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.3% | 57.7% |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.67% | 28.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.94% | 64.06% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.18% | 12.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.84% | 39.16% |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 5.93% 1-0 @ 4.58% 2-0 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.56% 3-1 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.43% Total : 23.11% | 1-1 @ 9.41% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 3.63% 3-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.21% | 1-2 @ 9.67% 0-2 @ 7.66% 0-1 @ 7.46% 1-3 @ 6.62% 0-3 @ 5.25% 2-3 @ 4.17% 1-4 @ 3.4% 0-4 @ 2.7% 2-4 @ 2.14% 1-5 @ 1.4% 0-5 @ 1.11% 3-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.22% Total : 55.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 16 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 16 |
4 | FC Twente | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
5 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
6 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Groningen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
11 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
15 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
16 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |