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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 73.73%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 10.44%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-3 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.38%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Ajax |
10.44% | 15.83% | 73.73% |
Both teams to score 52.34% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.2% | 34.81% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.22% | 56.78% |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.95% | 43.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.67% | 79.34% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.91% | 8.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.57% | 28.43% |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 3.11% 1-0 @ 2.94% 2-0 @ 1.24% 3-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.06% Total : 10.44% | 1-1 @ 7.38% 2-2 @ 3.91% 0-0 @ 3.48% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.13% Total : 15.83% | 0-2 @ 11.01% 1-2 @ 9.28% 0-3 @ 9.23% 0-1 @ 8.76% 1-3 @ 7.78% 0-4 @ 5.81% 1-4 @ 4.89% 2-3 @ 3.28% 0-5 @ 2.92% 1-5 @ 2.46% 2-4 @ 2.06% 0-6 @ 1.22% 2-5 @ 1.04% 1-6 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.95% Total : 73.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 16 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 16 |
4 | FC Twente | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
5 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
6 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Groningen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
11 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
15 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
16 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |