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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 81.94%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 6.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.46%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (1.99%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
81.94% | 11.73% | 6.33% |
Both teams to score 48.96% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.9% | 29.1% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.89% | 50.11% |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.71% | 5.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.17% | 20.83% |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.69% | 48.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.55% | 83.45% |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
2-0 @ 11.04% 3-0 @ 10.82% 2-1 @ 8.03% 4-0 @ 7.96% 3-1 @ 7.88% 1-0 @ 7.51% 4-1 @ 5.79% 5-0 @ 4.68% 5-1 @ 3.41% 3-2 @ 2.87% 6-0 @ 2.3% 4-2 @ 2.11% 6-1 @ 1.67% 5-2 @ 1.24% 7-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.66% Total : 81.93% | 1-1 @ 5.46% 2-2 @ 2.92% 0-0 @ 2.55% Other @ 0.8% Total : 11.73% | 1-2 @ 1.99% 0-1 @ 1.86% Other @ 2.48% Total : 6.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |