Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 73.67%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 10.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 3-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 0-1 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
