Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Emmen win was 2-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.