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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 66.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 15.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.46%) and 0-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Groningen win it was 2-1 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Groningen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
15.1% ( -0.07) | 18.28% ( 0.11) | 66.62% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 57.96% ( -0.64) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.33% ( -0.72) | 34.67% ( 0.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.37% ( -0.82) | 56.63% ( 0.82) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.16% ( -0.56) | 35.84% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.38% ( -0.58) | 72.62% ( 0.58) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.35% ( -0.21) | 9.65% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.78% ( -0.49) | 32.22% ( 0.49) |
Score Analysis |
Groningen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.31% Total : 15.1% | 1-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.22% Total : 18.28% | 1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 9.46% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 7.56% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 7.37% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 4.42% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 4.31% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 2.27% ( -0.07) 1-5 @ 2.07% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.43% Total : 66.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 31 |
3 | Ajax | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 29 |
4 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 20 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 16 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |