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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 17.96%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.01%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-0 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
Groningen | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
17.96% (![]() | 22.59% (![]() | 59.45% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.5% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.1% (![]() | 48.9% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.01% (![]() | 70.99% (![]() |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.99% (![]() | 41.01% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.44% (![]() | 77.56% (![]() |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.92% (![]() | 16.08% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.53% | 45.47% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Groningen | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
1-0 @ 5.88% (![]() 2-1 @ 4.79% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.62% 3-1 @ 1.42% 3-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.95% Total : 17.96% | 1-1 @ 10.74% 0-0 @ 6.6% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.38% ( ![]() Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.59% | 0-1 @ 12.05% 0-2 @ 11.01% 1-2 @ 9.82% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.71% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.98% 0-4 @ 3.07% 1-4 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.22% 0-5 @ 1.12% 1-5 @ 1% Other @ 2.08% Total : 59.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 53 | 18 | 35 | 63 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 55 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 49 |
4 | FC Twente | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 46 |
5 | Feyenoord | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 44 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 43 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 41 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 30 |
10 | Groningen | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 28 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 28 |
12 | Heracles | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 27 |
13 | NECNijmegen | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 26 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
16 | Willem II | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 24 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 17 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 49 | -34 | 14 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |